June 6th

1) David Ferrer wins in 3 or 4 vs AOR
When I lost the Murray prop, I considered it an unlucky prop, as Monfils was up 1-0 and lost three straight.  This time I'd consider it unlucky if Murray lost the prop.  Ferrer has never been past the quarterfinals of the French Open, 2 of the last 4 years he's been knocked out by Monfils ironically.  Ferrer has the stats of an amazing clay player.  He's 21-4 on clay on the year and 227-97 overall.  Murray on the other hand is only 5-3 on clay this season and 43-29 in his career.  However, Ferrer's struggles at the French Open lead me to take Murray.

2) Sampdoria vs Varese or draw
ESPN really should fix their Serie B table, its not even in order.  Sampdoria played 21 home games, but only had 9 wins.  Varese did very well on the road, winning or drawing 16 of the 21 games.  In the matchups between these two teams, Varese won both 3-1 at home and 1-0 on the road.  I think Varese is by far the better team, so I'll take them to at least draw in the first leg.

3) Run in the 1st inning?
The Yankees are 8th in the league in runs scored and the Devil Rays are 17th.  Nova is on the mound for the Yanks, who despite a 6-2 record, has an astounding 5.60 ERA.  Cobb is on the mound for the Devil Rays with an ERA of 3.71, but only with 3 starts so far this season.  Not sure who I'm taking yet, but I think I'm leaning yes.