May 28th

1) Games Djokovic loses? 7+ vs 6-?
I correctly predicted this to go over in the Tsonga match. Now let's look at this matchup. The challenger is Potito Starace, a 30-year old from Italy.  Similar to Kuznetsov yesterday, his best surface is clay posting a .532 career winning percentage on clay vs .311 for hard and .100 on grass.  The most interesting stat I found is only twice in his 11 year career has this prop gone under in a Grand Slam for Starace.  Once against Federer in 2007 (5 games) and once against Youzhny in 2006 (5 games), this includes matches against Soderling (8), Wawrinka (11), Davydenko (11), Murray (18), and even Djokvoic (7).  Djokvoic actually does worse on clay than hard or grass, (.762 vs .799 and .776).  In Grand Slams in his career against players ranked 95 or lower since 2007 this has gone over 14 of 19 times.  My biggest concern is that since 2012 began, he is 2-1 for the under and has beaten players ranked as high as 56 losing 6 or less games.  I think Starace hangs in long enough, so I'll take 7+.

2)Sion Win vs Aarau W/D
The way it works in Switzerland is that the second placed team from the Challenger league has a two leg match with the 9th place team in the Super League.  The winner goes to the Super League.  The Swiss Super league has been all but decided as Sion won the first leg 3-0.  Due to a penalty imposed by FIFA, they lost 36 standings points earlier in the season, causing this relatively strong club on the year (15-8-11) to be at risk for relegation.  In their last 9 road games, they've mustered only 2 wins, although been good for 5 draws, they've been shut out 4 times in those 9.  Aarau has been very good at home going 6-1-2 in their last 9.  I think Aarau comes out with some pride and musters a goal or two forcing at least a draw.

3) Maryland vs Loyola (MD)
Maryland has been the shock of the tournament. They've beaten Duke ranked 3rd, and Johns Hopkins ranked 2nd.  Now they will face the #1 seed in the tournament.  These two did not play in the regular season.  Against common opponents (which I don't really like as a comparison, but I don't have much information) Loyola was 4-1 and Maryland was 6-2.  Maryland always seems to come up big against big opponents (4-1 against Duke+John Hopkins this year) but I think Loyola ends up being too much for them, only one loss on the year seems to spell out a championship.

4) Arizona vs San Francisco
In the pitching matchup in this one it is Zito, who had a rough time out last game against Milwaukee giving up 8 runs in 3 innings (4 earned), and has a 3.53 ERA this season.  Against Cahill who has given up 4 runs in 4 of his 9 starts this season, and at an ERA of 3.74.  Both teams are in the middle of the league at producing runs, Arizona at 16th and San Francisco at 18th.  I like San Francisco to win this one at hope, but I'm very weary of Zito throwing the game away in the first few innings. Be Careful.

5)Paul Pierce Pts+Reb or tie vs LeBron James points
As much as I don't like LeBron I think he's an extremely good pick here.  Pierce only averages about 5 rebounds per game, that's 2-3 per half, maximum of probably 4.  He averaged 19.4 points this season and is at 19.3 in the playoffs.  LeBron on the other hand is at 27.1 points/game on the season, but has increased that to 29.0 in the playoffs.  Additionally, he was extremely good in the last 3 games against Indiana, scoring 28, 30, and 40.  I'll take LeBron to win this prop by a couple.

6)44 or fewer vs 45 or more
This one is solely up to how the two coaches want the pace of the game to go.  If the first half has a lot of possessions (not necessarily a lot of scoring, but an uptempo game) then over is the pick, but if its a slow game, under is the pick.