1) How many games will Tsonga lose? 9- vs 10+
In the first round of the French Open Tsonga will be going up against Andrey Kuznetsov, a 21-year old Russian who has yet to turn professional. He's won only 4 of his 14 matches on the ATP world tour. Keep in mind, the French open is best of 5 sets. So Tsonga would have to win at least 6-3, 6-3, 6-3, for the prop to go fewer. Kuznetsov has done very well on the challenger and futures circuits winning 7 titles on the ITF futures circuit, and 1 on the ATP challenger circuit. Luckily for Kuznetsov the French Open surface is clay, which he has done very well on. Undefeated on the ITF futures on clay and 12-6 on the ATP challengers on clay. The toughest match I can find him playing was a 5 set loss to Victor Hanescu, ranked 38th at the time. Tsonga is an elite tennis player, currently ranked 5th. However, he has had struggles on clay, winning only 58.9% of the time in his career, and only 56.3% of the time this year. Against easier opponents he seems to give up games, losing 10 to 207th ranked Bubka at the U.S. Open and to 478th Gonzalez at last years Wimbledon. I think Kuznetsov hangs in there and this goes over.
2) Georgia WDL1 vs Tennessee 2+
The over/under for this game is set at 4.5, so Tennessee would need to get very hot to win by two. This season. In the SEC tournament, regional, and super regional, they have won 3 of the 8 games by 2 or more. Ivy Renfroe gave up 6 hits in the first game in the super regional against Georgia, that is a lot for softball and Georgia will more likely do better having more looks at her pitches. I'll take the WDL1 for the green.
3) Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
I think there's a considerable pitching mismatch in this one. Randy Wolf has been terribly inconsistent throughout his career. This season is a terrible year so far for him posting a 6.02 ERA thus far. The problem is his extremely high WHIP at 1.70. Hudson was incredible last year posting a 3.49 ERA, but was put on the 15 day DL and is making his first major league start since coming back. The teams are pretty even hitting teams, seperated by only 9 runs this year, and only .01 in batting average. I'll take the Diamondbacks on Hudson producing a solid start.
4)Pitches to the first batter, 3 or 4 vs AOR?
This one seems to be a kind of gut call. Without overloading with stats that will probably come out pretty close to 50-50, lets just look at SFTC stats. I don't have an quantitative data on 4 or fewer winning vs 5 or more, but I do know qualitatively 4 or fewer wins the vast majority of the time. I also would be shocked if the first pitch was swung at, and so it seems much more likely that the result will be 2 than 1. I'm going to estimate that theres about a 70% chance it is either 2, 3, or 4, meaning (if all are considered equal possibilities) giving a 47% chance to 3 or 4, so I'll take AOR, but I really think this is a toss up pick.
5)Both teams score in innings 3-5?
The O/U for this game is set very low, at 6.5. In both games this series, despite a huge combined scoring performance, 23 runs, only the Braves have scored in innings 3-5. I'm going to take no, because I think this game ends up being very low scoring and one of the teams don't score.
6)XBH in the 7th?
This one I always tend to go no on, I think an XBH, especially with two good pitching teams is tough to call in one inning. It depends on the relievers, but I'm likely to go no.
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