May 15th

So the whole .700 this week isn't working out so far, sitting at .500, 5-5.  Gotta keep going though

1) Derry City vs Monaghan or Draw
Derry City has looked reasonable on the road, while they only have 1 win in 5 attempts, they posted a draw against Shamrock and Silgo (1st and 3rd in the league) and lost to Drogheda and Shelbourne (4th and 5th) Their win was a 4-0 crushing of Bray (6th), So while they only have 1 win, they haven't played anyone as poor as last place Monaghan.  Monaghan has been poor throughout, at home they have only 1 win/draw in 4 attempts, coming against Dundalk in a scoreless game.  I think Derry City gets the win here.

2) LeBron and Wade 1st Half 28- or 29+
Last time a prop like this was up the under was an easyyyy pick.  This time I'm not so sure.  Here's the data we have.
1. They combined for 50.8 points/game so far in the playoffs, and 49.2 in the regular season.
2. Vegas currently as Lebron over 30.5 at 4/6 and Wade over 25.5 at 5/7. Meaning the combined total is 27.5 per half.
3. In the second half, with Bosh out, Wade and LeBron scored 42 points.

Now this prop presents me with a major problem, because I hate the Heat so much.  I think they are a bunch of arrogant @ssholes that our society has formed to think they are worth something when in reality they contribute nothing but moral hostility to our world.  However, I do think it is reasonable to go over.  Also, since the Pacers had no answer for Wade or LeBron taking over the second half, it is reasonable to expect that is the strategy the Puppet will start the game with.  Will the Heat score 45 or more points in the first half? Probably.  For it to go over 64% of the points would need to be scored by Wade or LeBron, and in the playoffs so far 69% of the points have been scored by the big three, so how many of Bosh's points go to Wade and LeBron? I think enough.  Call me crazy, but I'm going 29+

3) 47- or 48+
Only the third quarter of last game was over.  I'll take the under most likely, depends on the pace of the game.

4) Paul Pts+Ast vs Parker Pts+Ast or tie
This prop is going to kill me because I have watched exactly zero Spurs games this year.  I'm going to take Parker because I think the Spurs will end up dominating this game.

5) 3PM, 7- or 8+
This one is going to have to depend on if both teams are trying to get it down low in the first half or shooting jumpers.  Right now I'm leaning 8+ but we will see.