May 30th

1) Giles Simon wins 3-0 vs AOR
Giles Simon (12) will be going up against Brian Baker (141).  Simon is all over the place with his Grand Slam results going 5 sets against 201st ranked Udomchoke, and sweeping 10th Ranked Marty Fish in 3 sets in 2011.  He does pretty well on clay .603 over his career, compared to .605 on hard surface.  Baker has never lost a Grand Slam in straight sets.  Additionally, he seems to be very good on clay at 4-1, though we have limited information there.  I think Baker has a good chance of winning a set so I'll take him.

2) Lahti vs Inter Turku, game total, 2 or 3 vs AOR
Thus far this season Inter Turku has had their game total be AOR 3 times, and 2 or 3 6 times, that includes a 5-0 win over Lahti on the road.  Lahti has had their game total be AOR 3 times and 2 or 3 6 times.  The over 1.5 is -571, and under 3.5 is -181.  As a parlay that is about a -120 favorite.  Based on the teams history and the odds, I'll take 2 or 3.

3) Spain 2+ vs South Korea W/D/L1
This one is dangerous because South Korea is a pretty good team.  They haven't lost by 2 since August 2011 in a 3-0 defeat to Japan.  However, picking against Spain is not a very good idea, especially as they tune up for Euro 2012.  I like South Korea a bit more, but like all the early matchups, this one is close.

4) First pick in the draft Wizards or Bobcats vs AOT
Simple percentage play here, 45% chance Wizards or Bobcats get the pick, 55% chance another team does.  I'll take the 55% chance.

5) Pts+Ast Rondo vs Wade
Wade averaged 22.1 ppg and 4.6 ast/game, Rondo averaged 11.9 ppg and 11.7 ast/game.  It seemed clear in Game 1 that the Celtics wanted to get Garnett established early and often.  Rondo also got a lot of work, a player who only averaged 10 shots/game in the regular season took 20 in game 1.  Wade has been spectacular since his awful 5 point game against Indiana, his lowest point total since then was 22 in game 1 against the C's.  He only took 13 shots to Rondo's 20 and still outscored and tied him in assists.  I'll take Wade.

6)Run in the 1st innings? Yankees vs Angels
This prop would have a tendancy to go no, but the pitchers on the mound are very poor.  Nova has an ERA of 5.62 on the year, and Santana has a 4.45 ERA this year. Santana has given up a run 5 times in the 1st inning in 10 starts.  Nova has given up a run in 2 of 9 starts this year.  NY is 9th in runs scored, L.A. is 23rd.  I think this is a bigger tossup than people think, and since I need to catch up on the messenger, I'll take yes, but I think no is favored.

7) Yankees HR Yes or No?
The Yankees have 74 HR's in 49 innings pitched and Santana has given up 13 HR's in 64.2 innings.  I'll take Yes based on these two, sorry I don't have time for a full write up.