May 2nd

Alright, a bit of a slow start, but I'm sitting at .500 and I'll take it.

1) Atromitos W/D/L1 vs Panathinaikos 2+
Ah yes, the classic Greek super league playoffs, much like the olympics, except the winners don't just get olive wreaths, they get money wreaths.  Panathinaikos is a top Greek team, winning 22 of their 30 matches so far, as well as 12 of those 30 by 2 or more.  However, Atromitos is no pushover of a side currently sitting 4th in the Greek table having only lost by 2 or more 3 times all season, ironically one of these two was in their last match against Olympiakos, the current league leaders.  Thus far this season Atromitos and Panathinaikos have played to a 1-1 draw, and a 1-0 Panathinaikos win. I don't see Panathinaikos running away with this one, Atromitos has only given up 2 or more goals in a game 7 times this season, and only one time have they given up 3, nNe cause for concern, Atromitos has not scored in their last 3 games.  Still, I'll take Atromitos.

2) Newcastle W/D/L1 vs Chelsea 2+

I once kissed a girl named Chelsea (who are we kidding that's not true) but Chelsea is in amazing form right now, absolutely incredible.  However, Newcastle is no pushover.  They have a shot at the champions league and after an embarassing game @ Wigan, I don't see them getting blown out in this one.  A draw is possible, but I'll take the extra goal advantage and hopefully a green.

3) 4 pitches or fewer/5 or more.
These props are simply statistical probability.  Always seems to be 4 or fewer, Nova averages 3.62 pitches/plate appearance, good enough for me to go 4 or fewer.

4) Yankees HR in innings 3-6?
The Yankees haven't even scored a run in innings 3-6 the whole series.  However, the stats point to a HR, Arrieta gives up 1 HR/7 innings, cause the Yankees have 37 HRs in 23 games, and 22 HRs in 12 home games.  I'll take Yes, but it seems like a toss up.

5) Hit in the top of the 8th?
The Orioles average 7 hits per game, they have 16 hits this series (18 innings) It's hard to justify not taking a hit.

6) Clips 3 pointers made vs Memphis winning margin:

I like the Clippers a lot, I took them in the miraculous comeback and got green for it.  Here's the thing, its not going to happen again.  Memphis puts the foot on the gas, and wins this game by 10.