Accolades

79th Monthly Wins December 2011
53rd Monthly Wins Feburary 2012
36th Monthly Wins May 2012
Yahoo Sports IQ Weekly Winner 7/23/12-7/29/12, 7/30/12-8/5/12
StreakItUp Weekly Winner Round 12 Group 6


Tuesday, June 12, 2012

June 13th

1) Portugal W vs Denmark W/D?
Portugal knows they need to win this to have a realistic chance of advancing.  The Dutch have already lost to the Danes meaning a win over Denmark would be huge.  The Dutch dominated the entire game really having 28 shots to Denmark's 8.  While Portugal might not be quite as dominate, I look for them to control the match.  They will certainly score at sometime and I like Yes on the Ronaldo prop as well, but Portugal coming out with a win looks too good to pass up.

2) First goalscorer of the 1st half? Gomez, Podolski, Mueller, Ozil (basically any German) vs AOR or No goal.
A notable exception to the German players is Miroslav Klose.  He wasn't in the starting lineup against Portugal, but he could get a start so that should be checked on.  Of course Van Persie is always a threat to score for the Dutch as well as Robben and Sneidjer.  A Dutch goal wouldn't be unheardof, they can definitely compete with the Germans, and a 0-0 halftime result, while not likely, adds to the attractiveness of AOR.  I'll go AOR.

3) 72nd or earlier vs 73rd or later/no goal
This one SM must have seen how many got greened from 71st or later and pushed it back, however, Netherlands and Germany are much more goalscoring teams than France and England were.  I like 72nd or earlier, that's a 27 minute time slot, nearly a third of the game.

4) Hits in the 1st, 2 or 3 vs AON
Yankees last 10 games, combined their hits and their opponents, 2 or 3: 4, AON: 6.
Braves last 10 games, combined their hits and their opponents, 2 or 3: 3, AON: 7.
While that could be too small of a sample size, I think a 13 of 20 majority tends to indicate AON is this pick. I found Exactly 2 hits in the first as +275 odds as well.  I'll go AON.

5) Yankees HR 3-6?
The Yankees lead the majors with 95 HR's in only 61 games.  Assuming 9 inning games, that's .692 HR's per 4 innings, which heavily suggests yes is the pick.  However, 52 of the 95 were at home, meaning only 43 were hit in 30 road games.  That drops the ratio to .637 HR's/ 4 innings.  However again, Turner field is ranked 25th out of 30 parks of ease to hit HR's. (It's difficult) Additionally, Hudson has only given up 1 HR in 54 innings of work this year, that was in Colorado, at Coors Field, the 4th easiest place to hit HR's.  I'll take No, due to the difficulty of the park and a very good pitcher on the mound.

6) Run in the 8th?
The Yankees have the 4th best bullpen in the majors at 2.75 ERA, Atlanta is sitting at 18th with a bullpen ERA of 3.88.  Not sure why the %'s are so high on No, I'll have to wait and see where each team is in the lineup.



 

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